Bridge Game

Zar Points

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Zar Points

Zar Points is an advanced, statistically-derived method for evaluating Contract Bridge hands developed by Zar Petkov for use by more experienced players. The statistical research Petkov conducted in the areas of hand evaluation and bidding is useful to any advanced bridge player, regardless of their bidding or hand evaluation system, but the research showed that the Milton Work point count method, even when adjusted for distribution, does not accurately describe hands. As a result, players often make incorrect, or sub-optimal bids. Zar Points are designed to take many additional factors into consideration by assigning points to each factor based on statistically weight. While most of these factors are already implicitly taken into account by experienced players, Zar Points provides a quantitative method that allows them to be incorporated into bidding accurately.

Hand Evaluation

To evaluate an opening hand, in addition to standard high card point count, add points for:

When re-evaluating a hand based on earlier bidding, add points for:

For bidding systems that allow one partner to know the shape of the other's hand, an additional misfit adjustment exists. To calculate the misfit modifier, find the difference in length between spade suits in each hand. Perform a similar calculation for the other three suits and sum the differences. When the partners do not have an 8 card trump fit, the misfit modifier subtracts from the total Zars. When the partners have a trump fit longer than 8, the misfit modifier adds in place of the super-fit modifier if it is larger.

The misfit modifier(m4) can be estimated if one partner knows the difference in lengths between the two most different suits(m2) because m2 is approximately 75% of m4 when m4 is below 14. When m4 is above 14, 0.8% of the time, m2 is only 60% of m4. This means that the misfit modifier can be estimated by increasing m2 by 1/3.

26 Zar Points(Zars) are required to open. 16 Zars are required to respond. 52 Zars is game at the four level. Bidding levels are five points apart yielding:

Two Level -- 42 i.e. 26 + 16
Three Level -- 47
Four Level -- 52
Five Level -- 57
Six Level -- 62
Seven Level -- 67

Use in Existing Bidding Systems

One way to use Zar Points is to convert them into the more traditional HCPs.

To do this, take the total Zar Points, excluding high card points and controls, then subtract eight, and then divide by two. Add to this result points for high cards and controls using this scheme:

The result will be a more accurate estimate of hand strength adjusted to the traditional scale. Several experts have used Zar Points in this fashion.

New Bidding Systems

Petkov has proposed the guts of bidding method, similar to the Precision Club derivatives Symmetric Relay and MOSCITO, that makes extensive use of limit bids, relays, and the shape defining properties of Zar Points to rapidly describe a hand. Below is a summary of the basics, omitting some of the finer points and the research details supporting the decisions. To make this a full system, a partnership would need to agree on what conventions to use. Most of the ideas from other systems can carry over. Partnerships interested in using this system should familiarize themselves with the reasons behind this basic bidding pattern before selecting specific conventions.

Requirements for Game

Opening Bids

Opening bids are divided into three intervals: just enough to open (26-30 Zars), one extra bidding level (31-35 Zars), and two or more extra bidding levels (36+ Zars). Because distribution can dramatically affect the playability of a hand, each of these Zar Points ranges can cover a wide number of traditional high card points. The opening level could represent between 3 and 19 HCP. The middle level could represent between 7 and 22 HCP. The maximum level could represent between 11 and 30 HCP. These ranges are inclusive. These three ranges are statistically derived: 60% of hands will fall in the lowest range, 30% will fall in the middle range, and 10% will fall in the top range.

Responding to Opening Bids

Because of the very descriptive nature of each of the opening bids, the responder is in control of the bidding unless the opener bid 1C. Also, the responder will be able after the re-bid by the opener to estimate the misfit modifier, allowing an accurate determination of where to play the hand.

External links


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